Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-11
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-11
$22,158 Vol.
$22,158 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
2%
$22,158 Vol.
$22,158 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$12,379 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$9,780 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$22,158Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,158Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold in suburban Northern Virginia, anchored by consistent large margins in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+18. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly’s death and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and primary positioning ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary. Republican nominee Arthur Purves faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in decades. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent Democratic reflects these fundamentals, though a national Republican wave, successful redistricting challenge, or late-cycle scandal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions