Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts following their August 2025 Alaska summit and subsequent lack of progress despite periodic phone contacts. Recent July 2026 calls produced agreement for further dialogue but no confirmed summit plans, with U.S. officials stating none are scheduled in the immediate term amid ongoing battlefield escalation and European efforts to secure a role in any negotiations. China leads alternative locations as a potential neutral venue for high-level diplomacy, while U.S. or European sites remain low-probability given security, political, and timing constraints in the remaining months of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country <1%
$490,258 Vol.
$490,258 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
61%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Other EU country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country <1%
$490,258 Vol.
$490,258 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
61%

China
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Other EU country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace efforts following their August 2025 Alaska summit and subsequent lack of progress despite periodic phone contacts. Recent July 2026 calls produced agreement for further dialogue but no confirmed summit plans, with U.S. officials stating none are scheduled in the immediate term amid ongoing battlefield escalation and European efforts to secure a role in any negotiations. China leads alternative locations as a potential neutral venue for high-level diplomacy, while U.S. or European sites remain low-probability given security, political, and timing constraints in the remaining months of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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