**Anthropic's Claude models dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard**, with variants like claude-fable-5-high, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max holding the top three spots at scores of 1523–1526 as of mid-September 2026. This sustained edge stems from demonstrated strengths in complex reasoning, proof generation, and benchmark performance, including gold-medal IMO 2026 results and recent autonomous formalizations of advanced theorems such as Fermat’s Last Theorem. Traders price Anthropic at 74% implied probability because no other lab has displaced its models in this specific arena. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra shows frontier gains on FrontierMath but trails in Arena Math rankings, while Google and others occupy lower positions. With resolution weeks away, upcoming model updates or leaderboard shifts represent the main remaining variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de Text Arena Math AI no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de Text Arena Math AI no final de outubro?
Anthropic 74%
Google 10.5%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$37,884 Vol.
$37,884 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
74%
11%
OpenAI
7%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 74%
Google 10.5%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$37,884 Vol.
$37,884 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
$15,281 Vol.
74%
$1,745 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$6,905 Vol.
7%
Alibaba
$982 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,105 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$1,002 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,132 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$964 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$942 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$753 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$778 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$694 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$492 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$745 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$653 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$649 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$773 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$662 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$593 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic's Claude models dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard**, with variants like claude-fable-5-high, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max holding the top three spots at scores of 1523–1526 as of mid-September 2026. This sustained edge stems from demonstrated strengths in complex reasoning, proof generation, and benchmark performance, including gold-medal IMO 2026 results and recent autonomous formalizations of advanced theorems such as Fermat’s Last Theorem. Traders price Anthropic at 74% implied probability because no other lab has displaced its models in this specific arena. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra shows frontier gains on FrontierMath but trails in Arena Math rankings, while Google and others occupy lower positions. With resolution weeks away, upcoming model updates or leaderboard shifts represent the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$37,884Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic's Claude models dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard**, with variants like claude-fable-5-high, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max holding the top three spots at scores of 1523–1526 as of mid-September 2026. This sustained edge stems from demonstrated strengths in complex reasoning, proof generation, and benchmark performance, including gold-medal IMO 2026 results and recent autonomous formalizations of advanced theorems such as Fermat’s Last Theorem. Traders price Anthropic at 74% implied probability because no other lab has displaced its models in this specific arena. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra shows frontier gains on FrontierMath but trails in Arena Math rankings, while Google and others occupy lower positions. With resolution weeks away, upcoming model updates or leaderboard shifts represent the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,884Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic's Claude models dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard**, with variants like claude-fable-5-high, claude-opus-5-high, and claude-opus-5-max holding the top three spots at scores of 1523–1526 as of mid-September 2026. This sustained edge stems from demonstrated strengths in complex reasoning, proof generation, and benchmark performance, including gold-medal IMO 2026 results and recent autonomous formalizations of advanced theorems such as Fermat’s Last Theorem. Traders price Anthropic at 74% implied probability because no other lab has displaced its models in this specific arena. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra shows frontier gains on FrontierMath but trails in Arena Math rankings, while Google and others occupy lower positions. With resolution weeks away, upcoming model updates or leaderboard shifts represent the main remaining variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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