United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 59%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 34.5%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$13,353,616 Vol.
$13,353,616 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
59%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
35%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 59%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 34.5%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$13,353,616 Vol.
$13,353,616 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$5,147,136 Vol.
59%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$1,486,330 Vol.
35%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$2,622,247 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$850,695 Vol.
1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$819,540 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$1,505,263 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$922,406 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$13,353,616Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$13,353,616Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority for the ruling party. New People has gained visibility through recent conventions and regional efforts, occasionally polling ahead of traditional systemic opposition groups in some surveys, which supports its elevated market share as the likeliest second-place contender. Other parties such as LDPR and KPRF trail amid limited shifts in public support, while the overall environment of restricted genuine opposition and inclusion of voters from occupied territories further entrenches the projected hierarchy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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