United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 61%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 30.5%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,254,202 Vol.
$8,254,202 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
61%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
3%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 61%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 30.5%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,254,202 Vol.
$8,254,202 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$2,154,265 Vol.
61%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$1,064,572 Vol.
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$2,276,751 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$658,279 Vol.
3%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$574,590 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$942,587 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$583,181 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$8,254,202Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,254,202Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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