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icon for Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

icon for Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

Rússia Unida (ER) 69%

Novos Pessoas (NL) 24.5%

Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 4.7%

Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 2.4%

Polymarket

$16,777,059 Vol.

Rússia Unida (ER) 69%

Novos Pessoas (NL) 24.5%

Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 4.7%

Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 2.4%

Polymarket

$16,777,059 Vol.

icon for Rússia Unida (ER)

Rússia Unida (ER)

$6,228,248 Vol.

69%

icon for Novos Pessoas (NL)

Novos Pessoas (NL)

$1,853,107 Vol.

25%

icon for Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)

Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)

$3,032,844 Vol.

5%

icon for Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)

Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)

$1,168,717 Vol.

2%

icon for A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)

A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)

$1,217,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$2,016,206 Vol.

<1%

icon for Plataforma Cívica (GP)

Plataforma Cívica (GP)

$1,260,653 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and consistent administrative support. Recent regional elections in 2025 reinforced this dominance, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Polling trends from organizations such as VTsIOM and FOM continue to place the party well ahead, typically in the 40–50 percent range, while New People has shown secondary strength in some surveys as a systemic alternative. The Kremlin’s scheduling decree in June 2026 and ongoing campaign preparations, including multi-day voting and party list finalization, have further stabilized expectations around the status quo. Other parties face structural barriers in single-member districts and threshold requirements that limit their path to the largest seat share.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$16,777,059
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive regional structures and consistent administrative support. Recent regional elections in 2025 reinforced this dominance, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Polling trends from organizations such as VTsIOM and FOM continue to place the party well ahead, typically in the 40–50 percent range, while New People has shown secondary strength in some surveys as a systemic alternative. The Kremlin’s scheduling decree in June 2026 and ongoing campaign preparations, including multi-day voting and party list finalization, have further stabilized expectations around the status quo. Other parties face structural barriers in single-member districts and threshold requirements that limit their path to the largest seat share.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$16,777,059
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rússia Unida (ER)" at 69%, followed by "Novos Pessoas (NL)" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?" has generated $16.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?" is "Rússia Unida (ER)" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Novos Pessoas (NL)" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.