The absence of new U.S. federal charges following the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, release of more than 3 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has anchored trader expectations. DOJ statements indicate no credible evidence emerged to support prosecutions beyond the existing cases against Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, citing evidentiary thresholds, statutes of limitations, and the focus of prior investigations. Limited international actions, such as inquiries involving figures like Prince Andrew or Peter Mandelson, have not produced U.S.-linked indictments tied directly to the disclosures. With the resolution window extending into late 2026 and no scheduled congressional or prosecutorial actions indicating imminent charges, the 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the consensus that disclosures alone have not generated prosecutable cases meeting federal standards.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
11% chance
$134,395 Vol.
$134,395 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
11% chance
$134,395 Vol.
$134,395 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of new U.S. federal charges following the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, release of more than 3 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has anchored trader expectations. DOJ statements indicate no credible evidence emerged to support prosecutions beyond the existing cases against Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, citing evidentiary thresholds, statutes of limitations, and the focus of prior investigations. Limited international actions, such as inquiries involving figures like Prince Andrew or Peter Mandelson, have not produced U.S.-linked indictments tied directly to the disclosures. With the resolution window extending into late 2026 and no scheduled congressional or prosecutorial actions indicating imminent charges, the 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the consensus that disclosures alone have not generated prosecutable cases meeting federal standards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$134,395Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of new U.S. federal charges following the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, release of more than 3 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has anchored trader expectations. DOJ statements indicate no credible evidence emerged to support prosecutions beyond the existing cases against Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, citing evidentiary thresholds, statutes of limitations, and the focus of prior investigations. Limited international actions, such as inquiries involving figures like Prince Andrew or Peter Mandelson, have not produced U.S.-linked indictments tied directly to the disclosures. With the resolution window extending into late 2026 and no scheduled congressional or prosecutorial actions indicating imminent charges, the 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the consensus that disclosures alone have not generated prosecutable cases meeting federal standards.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$134,395Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of new U.S. federal charges following the Department of Justice’s January 30, 2026, release of more than 3 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images under the Epstein Files Transparency Act has anchored trader expectations. DOJ statements indicate no credible evidence emerged to support prosecutions beyond the existing cases against Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, citing evidentiary thresholds, statutes of limitations, and the focus of prior investigations. Limited international actions, such as inquiries involving figures like Prince Andrew or Peter Mandelson, have not produced U.S.-linked indictments tied directly to the disclosures. With the resolution window extending into late 2026 and no scheduled congressional or prosecutorial actions indicating imminent charges, the 89.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the consensus that disclosures alone have not generated prosecutable cases meeting federal standards.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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