**Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities in 2026, reducing the volume of bills reaching the president that would trigger a veto.** With unified GOP control of Congress, most measures advance in forms acceptable to the administration, limiting confrontations over spending, policy riders, or regulatory matters that historically prompt vetoes. Recent developments reinforce this dynamic. In June 2026, Trump declined to sign a broadly bipartisan housing affordability bill and conditioned action on passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID measure, but the housing legislation became law automatically after the constitutional ten-day window without a formal veto. Similar leverage tactics around FISA reauthorization and other priorities have produced delays or non-signatures rather than outright vetoes. As of mid-September 2026, official records show no vetoes issued in 2026, following two late-2025 actions earlier in the term. Traders price the “No” outcome at 67.5% because scheduled legislative activity through year-end, including appropriations and midterm-related measures, shows little sign of producing bills divergent enough to force a veto. Remaining windows before midterms and any lame-duck session offer few catalysts for override-level disputes, though late-session funding fights or targeted policy disagreements could still shift the narrow remaining probability of a veto before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
Sim
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities in 2026, reducing the volume of bills reaching the president that would trigger a veto.** With unified GOP control of Congress, most measures advance in forms acceptable to the administration, limiting confrontations over spending, policy riders, or regulatory matters that historically prompt vetoes. Recent developments reinforce this dynamic. In June 2026, Trump declined to sign a broadly bipartisan housing affordability bill and conditioned action on passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID measure, but the housing legislation became law automatically after the constitutional ten-day window without a formal veto. Similar leverage tactics around FISA reauthorization and other priorities have produced delays or non-signatures rather than outright vetoes. As of mid-September 2026, official records show no vetoes issued in 2026, following two late-2025 actions earlier in the term. Traders price the “No” outcome at 67.5% because scheduled legislative activity through year-end, including appropriations and midterm-related measures, shows little sign of producing bills divergent enough to force a veto. Remaining windows before midterms and any lame-duck session offer few catalysts for override-level disputes, though late-session funding fights or targeted policy disagreements could still shift the narrow remaining probability of a veto before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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