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icon for Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?

Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?

icon for Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?

Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?

Sim

29% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

29% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities in 2026, reducing the volume of bills reaching the president that would trigger a veto.** With unified GOP control of Congress, most measures advance in forms acceptable to the administration, limiting confrontations over spending, policy riders, or regulatory matters that historically prompt vetoes. Recent developments reinforce this dynamic. In June 2026, Trump declined to sign a broadly bipartisan housing affordability bill and conditioned action on passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID measure, but the housing legislation became law automatically after the constitutional ten-day window without a formal veto. Similar leverage tactics around FISA reauthorization and other priorities have produced delays or non-signatures rather than outright vetoes. As of mid-September 2026, official records show no vetoes issued in 2026, following two late-2025 actions earlier in the term. Traders price the “No” outcome at 67.5% because scheduled legislative activity through year-end, including appropriations and midterm-related measures, shows little sign of producing bills divergent enough to force a veto. Remaining windows before midterms and any lame-duck session offer few catalysts for override-level disputes, though late-session funding fights or targeted policy disagreements could still shift the narrow remaining probability of a veto before December 31.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,326
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities in 2026, reducing the volume of bills reaching the president that would trigger a veto.** With unified GOP control of Congress, most measures advance in forms acceptable to the administration, limiting confrontations over spending, policy riders, or regulatory matters that historically prompt vetoes. Recent developments reinforce this dynamic. In June 2026, Trump declined to sign a broadly bipartisan housing affordability bill and conditioned action on passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID measure, but the housing legislation became law automatically after the constitutional ten-day window without a formal veto. Similar leverage tactics around FISA reauthorization and other priorities have produced delays or non-signatures rather than outright vetoes. As of mid-September 2026, official records show no vetoes issued in 2026, following two late-2025 actions earlier in the term. Traders price the “No” outcome at 67.5% because scheduled legislative activity through year-end, including appropriations and midterm-related measures, shows little sign of producing bills divergent enough to force a veto. Remaining windows before midterms and any lame-duck session offer few catalysts for override-level disputes, though late-session funding fights or targeted policy disagreements could still shift the narrow remaining probability of a veto before December 31.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,326
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" is "Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump emitirá um veto em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.