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Desligamento Do Gov previsões e probabilidades

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

18%

June 30

$216K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

16

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

55%

$14.7K Vol.

$747 Liq.

1

Ends em 15 dias

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

48%

$186K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

75

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

90%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$164K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

51%

Trump Family

$3.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

50%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$141K Vol.

$629 Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

78%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$323K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

12

Ends em 6 meses

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$105K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

<1%

$14.0K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 24 horas

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$70 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

29%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$86 Liq.

4

Ends em 15 dias

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

17%

Before 2027

$503K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

48

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors

$10 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

52%

200+

$25.4K Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

34%

160-179

$8.2K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Number of TSA passengers May 18 - May 24?

Number of TSA passengers May 18 - May 24?

51%

<17.5m

$0 Vol.

$235 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$196K today

$260K Liq.

462

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$10.7K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$73.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 615 active markets for Desligamento Do Gov that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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