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Guerra Comercial previsões e probabilidades

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Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

-

$1.1K Vol.

$727 Liq.

Ends há 20 dias

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

29%

South Korea

$268K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

40%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

72%

Tariff Reduction

$14.3K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

74%

$42.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

88%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$11.4K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 dias

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

15

Ends há 4 meses

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

3%

$61.4K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 dias

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$106K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$33.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$46.2K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

10

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

27%

$5.5K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

93%

Boeing

$75.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

4%

$46.8K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

7

Ends em 3 dias

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

85%

Ship / Chip

$450K Vol.

$340K today

$141K Liq.

27

Ends em 1 dia

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

9%

$707K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

33

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Guerra Comercial.

Polymarket currently hosts 204 active markets for Guerra Comercial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Guerra Comercial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.