Democratic prospects for a 2026 blue wave rest on President Trump's approval ratings holding near 37-43 percent amid the ongoing Iran conflict and economic pressures. National generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-10 points in recent Emerson and CNN surveys, with particular strength among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Record Republican House retirements, now exceeding 38 compared with 17 in the 2006 cycle, have opened additional competitive districts. Democrats have also flipped 27 Republican-held state legislative seats in special elections since early 2025. These trends underpin the current trader consensus pricing a 73.5 percent chance that Democrats reach at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$43,209 Объем
$43,209 Объем
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
$43,209 Объем
$43,209 Объем
30 нояб. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfDemocratic prospects for a 2026 blue wave rest on President Trump's approval ratings holding near 37-43 percent amid the ongoing Iran conflict and economic pressures. National generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-10 points in recent Emerson and CNN surveys, with particular strength among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Record Republican House retirements, now exceeding 38 compared with 17 in the 2006 cycle, have opened additional competitive districts. Democrats have also flipped 27 Republican-held state legislative seats in special elections since early 2025. These trends underpin the current trader consensus pricing a 73.5 percent chance that Democrats reach at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats in November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Открытие рынка: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Объем
$43,209Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfDemocratic prospects for a 2026 blue wave rest on President Trump's approval ratings holding near 37-43 percent amid the ongoing Iran conflict and economic pressures. National generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-10 points in recent Emerson and CNN surveys, with particular strength among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Record Republican House retirements, now exceeding 38 compared with 17 in the 2006 cycle, have opened additional competitive districts. Democrats have also flipped 27 Republican-held state legislative seats in special elections since early 2025. These trends underpin the current trader consensus pricing a 73.5 percent chance that Democrats reach at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats in November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Объем
$43,209Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects for a 2026 blue wave rest on President Trump's approval ratings holding near 37-43 percent amid the ongoing Iran conflict and economic pressures. National generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-10 points in recent Emerson and CNN surveys, with particular strength among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Record Republican House retirements, now exceeding 38 compared with 17 in the 2006 cycle, have opened additional competitive districts. Democrats have also flipped 27 Republican-held state legislative seats in special elections since early 2025. These trends underpin the current trader consensus pricing a 73.5 percent chance that Democrats reach at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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