Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 16%
Ренан Сантос 8.9%
Ромеу Зема 4.5%
$3,526,217 Объем
$3,526,217 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
16%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Ромеу Зема
4%

Мишель Болсонару
3%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 16%
Ренан Сантос 8.9%
Ромеу Зема 4.5%
$3,526,217 Объем
$3,526,217 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
16%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Ромеу Зема
4%

Мишель Болсонару
3%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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