Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, driven by Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement that unified much of the right-wing electorate behind the senator from the Liberal Party. Recent national polls, including those from Quaest and Ideia in early May, place Lula in the mid-to-high 30s percent while showing Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, each below 6 percent. This positioning leaves limited room for other candidates to overtake him absent major consolidations or withdrawals. A mid-May leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market continues to price his established base and opposition role as durable factors for the second spot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 16%
Ренан Сантос 8.8%
Ромеу Зема 5.5%
$3,526,025 Объем
$3,526,025 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
16%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Ромеу Зема
5%

Мишель Болсонару
3%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 16%
Ренан Сантос 8.8%
Ромеу Зема 5.5%
$3,526,025 Объем
$3,526,025 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
16%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Ромеу Зема
5%

Мишель Болсонару
3%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, driven by Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement that unified much of the right-wing electorate behind the senator from the Liberal Party. Recent national polls, including those from Quaest and Ideia in early May, place Lula in the mid-to-high 30s percent while showing Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, each below 6 percent. This positioning leaves limited room for other candidates to overtake him absent major consolidations or withdrawals. A mid-May leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market continues to price his established base and opposition role as durable factors for the second spot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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