Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 15%
Ренан Сантос 7.3%
Ромеу Зема 6.3%
$3,523,450 Объем
$3,523,450 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Ромеу Зема
6%

Мишель Болсонару
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 62%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 15%
Ренан Сантос 7.3%
Ромеу Зема 6.3%
$3,523,450 Объем
$3,523,450 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
62%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Ромеу Зема
6%

Мишель Болсонару
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
2%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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