The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРомеу Зема 33%
Ренан Сантос 32%
Роналду Кайаду 18%
Мишель Болсонару 5.4%
$282,751 Объем
$282,751 Объем

Ромеу Зема
33%

Ренан Сантос
32%

Роналду Кайаду
18%

Мишель Болсонару
5%

Фернандо Хаддад
4%

Флавио Болсонару
3%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Эдуарду Лейте
1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Элдер Барбалью
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%
Ромеу Зема 33%
Ренан Сантос 32%
Роналду Кайаду 18%
Мишель Болсонару 5.4%
$282,751 Объем
$282,751 Объем

Ромеу Зема
33%

Ренан Сантос
32%

Роналду Кайаду
18%

Мишель Болсонару
5%

Фернандо Хаддад
4%

Флавио Болсонару
3%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Эдуарду Лейте
1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Элдер Барбалью
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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