Recent national surveys show a fragmented field behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado each drawing low-single-digit support that keeps third-place odds tightly contested. Recent polling momentum for Santos, including stronger youth backing in the AtlasIntel survey, has narrowed his gap with Zema, whose established record as Minas Gerais governor sustains trader interest. Caiado trails on party consolidation but retains viability through center-right positioning. With the first round five months away, potential vote consolidation from smaller candidacies, endorsements by sitting governors, or shifts in economic sentiment could separate the leaders, while the current spread reflects uncertainty over how the remaining opposition vote ultimately distributes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРомеу Зема 32%
Ренан Сантос 31%
Роналду Кайаду 19%
Мишель Болсонару 5.2%
$281,596 Объем
$281,596 Объем

Ромеу Зема
32%

Ренан Сантос
31%

Роналду Кайаду
19%

Мишель Болсонару
5%

Фернандо Хаддад
4%

Флавио Болсонару
3%

Элдер Барбалью
2%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Жаир Болсонару
1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Эдуарду Лейте
1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
1%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%
Ромеу Зема 32%
Ренан Сантос 31%
Роналду Кайаду 19%
Мишель Болсонару 5.2%
$281,596 Объем
$281,596 Объем

Ромеу Зема
32%

Ренан Сантос
31%

Роналду Кайаду
19%

Мишель Болсонару
5%

Фернандо Хаддад
4%

Флавио Болсонару
3%

Элдер Барбалью
2%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Жаир Болсонару
1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Эдуарду Лейте
1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
1%

Тереза Кристина
1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent national surveys show a fragmented field behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado each drawing low-single-digit support that keeps third-place odds tightly contested. Recent polling momentum for Santos, including stronger youth backing in the AtlasIntel survey, has narrowed his gap with Zema, whose established record as Minas Gerais governor sustains trader interest. Caiado trails on party consolidation but retains viability through center-right positioning. With the first round five months away, potential vote consolidation from smaller candidacies, endorsements by sitting governors, or shifts in economic sentiment could separate the leaders, while the current spread reflects uncertainty over how the remaining opposition vote ultimately distributes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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