Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDatabricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Databricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 84.5%
200–250 млрд 2.3%
125–150 млрд 1.3%
250 млрд+ <1%
$403,994 Объем
$403,994 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–125 млрд
<1%
125–150 млрд
1%
150–175 млрд
<1%
175–200 млрд
<1%
200–250 млрд
2%
250 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
85%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 84.5%
200–250 млрд 2.3%
125–150 млрд 1.3%
250 млрд+ <1%
$403,994 Объем
$403,994 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$33,240 Объем
<1%
100–125 млрд
$62,203 Объем
<1%
125–150 млрд
$26,692 Объем
1%
150–175 млрд
$59,896 Объем
<1%
175–200 млрд
$58,153 Объем
<1%
200–250 млрд
$21,122 Объем
2%
250 млрд+
$126,215 Объем
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$16,474 Объем
85%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Объем
$403,994Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$403,994Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы