Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the Anatolian plateau. Diurnal warming under strong September insolation, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon peaks in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with historical late-summer baselines around 24–26°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and overnight lows near 10–14°C, but no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are projected to alter the outcome. Market-implied odds, with 25°C leading at 65.5%, aggregate trader evaluation of this consensus while assigning smaller probabilities to 24°C or 26°C if final observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 15 сентября?
25°C 67%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
67%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C или выше
<1%
25°C 67%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$526 Объем
<1%
20°C
$542 Объем
<1%
21°C
$492 Объем
1%
22°C
$272 Объем
1%
23°C
$440 Объем
3%
24°C
$1,017 Объем
21%
25°C
$1,973 Объем
67%
26°C
$972 Объем
12%
27°C
$516 Объем
2%
28°C
$423 Объем
1%
29°C или выше
$332 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the Anatolian plateau. Diurnal warming under strong September insolation, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon peaks in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with historical late-summer baselines around 24–26°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and overnight lows near 10–14°C, but no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are projected to alter the outcome. Market-implied odds, with 25°C leading at 65.5%, aggregate trader evaluation of this consensus while assigning smaller probabilities to 24°C or 26°C if final observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Объем
$7,446Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the Anatolian plateau. Diurnal warming under strong September insolation, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon peaks in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with historical late-summer baselines around 24–26°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and overnight lows near 10–14°C, but no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are projected to alter the outcome. Market-implied odds, with 25°C leading at 65.5%, aggregate trader evaluation of this consensus while assigning smaller probabilities to 24°C or 26°C if final observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,446Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the Anatolian plateau. Diurnal warming under strong September insolation, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon peaks in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with historical late-summer baselines around 24–26°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and overnight lows near 10–14°C, but no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are projected to alter the outcome. Market-implied odds, with 25°C leading at 65.5%, aggregate trader evaluation of this consensus while assigning smaller probabilities to 24°C or 26°C if final observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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