Persistent high pressure and south-southwest flow have sustained hot, dry conditions over central Texas, driving National Weather Service forecasts for an Austin high near 100–101°F today under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection. This setup exceeds the roughly 98°F August climatological normal while remaining below the all-time record of 105°F, consistent with model consensus and supporting the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. Dew points in the mid-70s are expected to push heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in cloud cover or weak seabreeze influences could cap the peak and favor the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 21.5%. Resolution depends on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 15 августа?
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 13%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 4%
$12,774 Объем
$12,774 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 68%
102-103°F 13%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 4%
$12,774 Объем
$12,774 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
$193 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$295 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$498 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$1,669 Объем
3%
98-99°F
$1,761 Объем
10%
100-101°F
$3,876 Объем
68%
102-103°F
$2,266 Объем
13%
104-105°F
$557 Объем
4%
106-107°F
$348 Объем
1%
108-109°F
$777 Объем
<1%
110°F или выше
$534 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and south-southwest flow have sustained hot, dry conditions over central Texas, driving National Weather Service forecasts for an Austin high near 100–101°F today under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection. This setup exceeds the roughly 98°F August climatological normal while remaining below the all-time record of 105°F, consistent with model consensus and supporting the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. Dew points in the mid-70s are expected to push heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in cloud cover or weak seabreeze influences could cap the peak and favor the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 21.5%. Resolution depends on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$12,774Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and south-southwest flow have sustained hot, dry conditions over central Texas, driving National Weather Service forecasts for an Austin high near 100–101°F today under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection. This setup exceeds the roughly 98°F August climatological normal while remaining below the all-time record of 105°F, consistent with model consensus and supporting the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. Dew points in the mid-70s are expected to push heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in cloud cover or weak seabreeze influences could cap the peak and favor the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 21.5%. Resolution depends on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,774Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and south-southwest flow have sustained hot, dry conditions over central Texas, driving National Weather Service forecasts for an Austin high near 100–101°F today under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection. This setup exceeds the roughly 98°F August climatological normal while remaining below the all-time record of 105°F, consistent with model consensus and supporting the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin. Dew points in the mid-70s are expected to push heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in cloud cover or weak seabreeze influences could cap the peak and favor the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 21.5%. Resolution depends on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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