Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 16 point to a high near 100–102°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin and 32% for 102–103°F. Subsidence associated with the ridge has suppressed afternoon convection and cloud cover across central Texas, while south-southwest flow advects warm, moist air with dew points in the mid-70s that support elevated heat indices. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of 97–99°F but remains well below all-time records, consistent with model consensus showing limited variability in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for slight intensification against stabilization near 100°F, with resolution hinging on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 16 августа?
100-101°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
102-103°F 30%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
93°F or below
$210 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$143 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$693 Объем
2%
98-99°F
$808 Объем
9%
100-101°F
$600 Объем
55%
102-103°F
$869 Объем
30%
104-105°F
$143 Объем
6%
106-107°F
$59 Объем
<1%
108-109°F
$208 Объем
<1%
110-111°F
$1,358 Объем
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 16 point to a high near 100–102°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin and 32% for 102–103°F. Subsidence associated with the ridge has suppressed afternoon convection and cloud cover across central Texas, while south-southwest flow advects warm, moist air with dew points in the mid-70s that support elevated heat indices. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of 97–99°F but remains well below all-time records, consistent with model consensus showing limited variability in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for slight intensification against stabilization near 100°F, with resolution hinging on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Объем
$5,379Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 16 point to a high near 100–102°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin and 32% for 102–103°F. Subsidence associated with the ridge has suppressed afternoon convection and cloud cover across central Texas, while south-southwest flow advects warm, moist air with dew points in the mid-70s that support elevated heat indices. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of 97–99°F but remains well below all-time records, consistent with model consensus showing limited variability in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for slight intensification against stabilization near 100°F, with resolution hinging on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,379Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 16 point to a high near 100–102°F under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for the 100–101°F bin and 32% for 102–103°F. Subsidence associated with the ridge has suppressed afternoon convection and cloud cover across central Texas, while south-southwest flow advects warm, moist air with dew points in the mid-70s that support elevated heat indices. This pattern exceeds the late-August climatological normal of 97–99°F but remains well below all-time records, consistent with model consensus showing limited variability in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for slight intensification against stabilization near 100°F, with resolution hinging on official Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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