Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 9 сентября?
10°C 100.0%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 Объем
$3,025 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Да
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C или выше
Нет
10°C 100.0%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 Объем
$3,025 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$50 Объем
Нет
8°C
$45 Объем
Нет
9°C
$45 Объем
Нет
10°C
$776 Объем
Да
11°C
$480 Объем
Нет
12°C
$206 Объем
Нет
13°C
$573 Объем
Нет
14°C
$189 Объем
Нет
15°C
$164 Объем
Нет
16°C
$269 Объем
Нет
17°C или выше
$230 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$3,025Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,025Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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