Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the East Asian summer monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C seasonal average. High humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further suppress overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing sensible heat loss. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in timing of any clearing, supporting closely matched market probabilities across the 24–28°C range while assigning lower odds to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 27th will refine these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 27 августа?
21°C или ниже 51%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
29°C 46%
21°C или ниже
51%
22°C
32%
23°C
38%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C или выше
2%
21°C или ниже 51%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
29°C 46%
21°C или ниже
51%
22°C
32%
23°C
38%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall from the East Asian summer monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Guangzhou, keeping minimum temperatures near the 25–27°C seasonal average. High humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further suppress overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing sensible heat loss. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in timing of any clearing, supporting closely matched market probabilities across the 24–28°C range while assigning lower odds to extremes below 22°C or above 30°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 27th will refine these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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