Trader consensus on the 12–13°C outcomes for London's June 15 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering in short-range ensemble forecasts, with Met Office guidance indicating a 15°C overnight low under a weakening high-pressure ridge that allows partial cloud cover and light winds. Radiative cooling rates will hinge on clear-sky intervals versus increased moisture and variable Atlantic flow, while urban heat-island effects in central London may temper the absolute minimum relative to rural sites. Recent model runs show modest spread around climatological June averages of 11–14°C, with any late-day shower activity or stronger northeasterly breeze capable of shifting the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated NWP guidance overnight and early on the 15th will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 15 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 15 июня?
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
43%
13°C
45%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$111 Объем
1%
9°C
$136 Объем
<1%
10°C
$55 Объем
1%
11°C
$126 Объем
5%
12°C
$119 Объем
43%
13°C
$221 Объем
45%
14°C
$197 Объем
6%
15°C
$239 Объем
<1%
16°C
$148 Объем
<1%
17°C
$258 Объем
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 12–13°C outcomes for London's June 15 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering in short-range ensemble forecasts, with Met Office guidance indicating a 15°C overnight low under a weakening high-pressure ridge that allows partial cloud cover and light winds. Radiative cooling rates will hinge on clear-sky intervals versus increased moisture and variable Atlantic flow, while urban heat-island effects in central London may temper the absolute minimum relative to rural sites. Recent model runs show modest spread around climatological June averages of 11–14°C, with any late-day shower activity or stronger northeasterly breeze capable of shifting the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated NWP guidance overnight and early on the 15th will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Объем
$1,760Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 12–13°C outcomes for London's June 15 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering in short-range ensemble forecasts, with Met Office guidance indicating a 15°C overnight low under a weakening high-pressure ridge that allows partial cloud cover and light winds. Radiative cooling rates will hinge on clear-sky intervals versus increased moisture and variable Atlantic flow, while urban heat-island effects in central London may temper the absolute minimum relative to rural sites. Recent model runs show modest spread around climatological June averages of 11–14°C, with any late-day shower activity or stronger northeasterly breeze capable of shifting the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated NWP guidance overnight and early on the 15th will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,760Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 12–13°C outcomes for London's June 15 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering in short-range ensemble forecasts, with Met Office guidance indicating a 15°C overnight low under a weakening high-pressure ridge that allows partial cloud cover and light winds. Radiative cooling rates will hinge on clear-sky intervals versus increased moisture and variable Atlantic flow, while urban heat-island effects in central London may temper the absolute minimum relative to rural sites. Recent model runs show modest spread around climatological June averages of 11–14°C, with any late-day shower activity or stronger northeasterly breeze capable of shifting the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated NWP guidance overnight and early on the 15th will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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