Current forecast models from sources like GFS project a low near 12–13°C for Paris on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 5–7 mph. This range aligns with the historical average minimum of 11.4°C for the date and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight, when clear or broken cloud cover allows heat to escape the boundary layer. Small variations in cloud timing, wind mixing, or model resolution of local urban effects explain the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, while the notable probability on 17°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in any warmer advection. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 18 сентября?
17°C или выше 57%
11°C 44%
10°C 33%
9°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
2%
8°C
27%
9°C
28%
10°C
33%
11°C
31%
12°C
33%
13°C
17%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C или выше
57%
17°C или выше 57%
11°C 44%
10°C 33%
9°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
8°C
$0 Объем
27%
9°C
$0 Объем
28%
10°C
$0 Объем
33%
11°C
$177 Объем
31%
12°C
$162 Объем
33%
13°C
$126 Объем
17%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
27%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS project a low near 12–13°C for Paris on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 5–7 mph. This range aligns with the historical average minimum of 11.4°C for the date and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight, when clear or broken cloud cover allows heat to escape the boundary layer. Small variations in cloud timing, wind mixing, or model resolution of local urban effects explain the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, while the notable probability on 17°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in any warmer advection. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$465Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS project a low near 12–13°C for Paris on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 5–7 mph. This range aligns with the historical average minimum of 11.4°C for the date and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight, when clear or broken cloud cover allows heat to escape the boundary layer. Small variations in cloud timing, wind mixing, or model resolution of local urban effects explain the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, while the notable probability on 17°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in any warmer advection. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$465Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS project a low near 12–13°C for Paris on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 5–7 mph. This range aligns with the historical average minimum of 11.4°C for the date and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight, when clear or broken cloud cover allows heat to escape the boundary layer. Small variations in cloud timing, wind mixing, or model resolution of local urban effects explain the tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, while the notable probability on 17°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in any warmer advection. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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