Persistent model spread in numerical weather predictions for Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3 drives the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered convection tied to the monsoon trough limit radiative cooling while sustaining high dew points near 25°C, favoring mid-20s lows per consensus runs. Heavy rainfall episodes may enhance localized evaporative cooling or suppress daytime heating, widening uncertainty around resolution thresholds. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima near 24°C amid frequent showers, with typhoon proximity or high-pressure strengthening as key variables that could shift the lowest temperature. Updated Central Weather Administration guidance and next model cycles will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тайбэе 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 3 сентября?
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 90%
23°C 42%
27°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
95%
23°C
42%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
34%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
90%
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 90%
23°C 42%
27°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
95%
23°C
$5 Объем
42%
24°C
$0 Объем
19%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$0 Объем
32%
27°C
$0 Объем
34%
28°C
$0 Объем
21%
29°C
$53 Объем
3%
30°C
$300 Объем
<1%
31°C
$5 Объем
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Объем
90%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent model spread in numerical weather predictions for Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3 drives the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered convection tied to the monsoon trough limit radiative cooling while sustaining high dew points near 25°C, favoring mid-20s lows per consensus runs. Heavy rainfall episodes may enhance localized evaporative cooling or suppress daytime heating, widening uncertainty around resolution thresholds. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima near 24°C amid frequent showers, with typhoon proximity or high-pressure strengthening as key variables that could shift the lowest temperature. Updated Central Weather Administration guidance and next model cycles will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$373Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent model spread in numerical weather predictions for Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3 drives the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered convection tied to the monsoon trough limit radiative cooling while sustaining high dew points near 25°C, favoring mid-20s lows per consensus runs. Heavy rainfall episodes may enhance localized evaporative cooling or suppress daytime heating, widening uncertainty around resolution thresholds. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima near 24°C amid frequent showers, with typhoon proximity or high-pressure strengthening as key variables that could shift the lowest temperature. Updated Central Weather Administration guidance and next model cycles will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$373Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent model spread in numerical weather predictions for Taipei's overnight minimum on September 3 drives the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered convection tied to the monsoon trough limit radiative cooling while sustaining high dew points near 25°C, favoring mid-20s lows per consensus runs. Heavy rainfall episodes may enhance localized evaporative cooling or suppress daytime heating, widening uncertainty around resolution thresholds. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima near 24°C amid frequent showers, with typhoon proximity or high-pressure strengthening as key variables that could shift the lowest temperature. Updated Central Weather Administration guidance and next model cycles will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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