Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-23 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-23 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,471 Объем
$24,471 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник Лэнгуэрти (Р)
92%
Аарон Гис (Д)
9%
$24,471 Объем
$24,471 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник Лэнгуэрти (Р)
$11,093 Объем
92%
Аарон Гис (Д)
$13,378 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$24,471Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,471Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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