Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

icon for Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года 96.4%

1.5T+ 1.1%

<500 млрд <1%

1,25–1,5 трлн долларов <1%

Polymarket

$2,342,322 Объем

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года 96.4%

1.5T+ 1.1%

<500 млрд <1%

1,25–1,5 трлн долларов <1%

Polymarket

$2,342,322 Объем

<500 млрд

$316,671 Объем

1%

500–750 млрд

$173,388 Объем

<1%

750 млрд–1 трлн

$184,121 Объем

1%

1T–1.25T

$225,456 Объем

<1%

1,25–1,5 трлн долларов

$532,804 Объем

1%

1.5T+

$162,858 Объем

1%

Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года

$747,023 Объем

96%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026, statement that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities has anchored trader consensus at a 96.4% implied probability of no listing by year-end. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and earlier $1 trillion valuation target gave way to a 2027 timeline after internal reviews and market signals, including SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Recent private funding rounds have valued OpenAI near $852 billion, reducing pressure for an immediate public debut. While a sudden regulatory shift or rapid business inflection could reopen a late-2026 window, the explicit executive guidance and ongoing safety focus sustain the dominant market-implied odds.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$2,342,322
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026, statement that a 2026 IPO would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities has anchored trader consensus at a 96.4% implied probability of no listing by year-end. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and earlier $1 trillion valuation target gave way to a 2027 timeline after internal reviews and market signals, including SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Recent private funding rounds have valued OpenAI near $852 billion, reducing pressure for an immediate public debut. While a sudden regulatory shift or rapid business inflection could reopen a late-2026 window, the explicit executive guidance and ongoing safety focus sustain the dominant market-implied odds.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$2,342,322
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года» с 96%, за ним следует «<500 млрд» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.3 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 22, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» — «Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2026 года» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<500 млрд» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Закрытие IPO OpenAI Рыночная капитализация» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.