Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have left Rep. Cory Mills as the sole remaining member under active House Ethics Committee review for alleged misconduct. Mills has publicly stated he has no plans to step down, and procedural timelines for any potential expulsion vote or sanctions recommendation extend beyond the May 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" aligns with these staggered ethics processes and the absence of immediate legislative or party pressure that would force Mills out within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show members facing similar probes often delay action until formal committee votes or criminal proceedings advance, further supporting the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$27,623 Объем
$27,623 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
$27,623 Объем
$27,623 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have left Rep. Cory Mills as the sole remaining member under active House Ethics Committee review for alleged misconduct. Mills has publicly stated he has no plans to step down, and procedural timelines for any potential expulsion vote or sanctions recommendation extend beyond the May 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" aligns with these staggered ethics processes and the absence of immediate legislative or party pressure that would force Mills out within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show members facing similar probes often delay action until formal committee votes or criminal proceedings advance, further supporting the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Объем
$27,623Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have left Rep. Cory Mills as the sole remaining member under active House Ethics Committee review for alleged misconduct. Mills has publicly stated he has no plans to step down, and procedural timelines for any potential expulsion vote or sanctions recommendation extend beyond the May 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" aligns with these staggered ethics processes and the absence of immediate legislative or party pressure that would force Mills out within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show members facing similar probes often delay action until formal committee votes or criminal proceedings advance, further supporting the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,623Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have left Rep. Cory Mills as the sole remaining member under active House Ethics Committee review for alleged misconduct. Mills has publicly stated he has no plans to step down, and procedural timelines for any potential expulsion vote or sanctions recommendation extend beyond the May 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" aligns with these staggered ethics processes and the absence of immediate legislative or party pressure that would force Mills out within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show members facing similar probes often delay action until formal committee votes or criminal proceedings advance, further supporting the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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