The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated outside Lebanon amid ongoing Middle East tensions involving Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran. A August 1 security alert confirmed this posture, citing a complex security environment with risks of escalation, while consular services for U.S. citizens continue on a limited basis. Recent U.S.-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations, including a June framework on Hezbollah disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals, have produced mixed results with some setbacks, though the next round is scheduled for early September in Rome. These diplomatic efforts and the absence of major new military incidents in recent weeks shape trader assessments of whether a full embassy evacuation will occur by any near-term resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСША эвакуируют посольство в Бейруте...?
США эвакуируют посольство в Бейруте...?
$117,489 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
4%
$117,489 Объем
31 декабря
$23,387 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated outside Lebanon amid ongoing Middle East tensions involving Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran. A August 1 security alert confirmed this posture, citing a complex security environment with risks of escalation, while consular services for U.S. citizens continue on a limited basis. Recent U.S.-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations, including a June framework on Hezbollah disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals, have produced mixed results with some setbacks, though the next round is scheduled for early September in Rome. These diplomatic efforts and the absence of major new military incidents in recent weeks shape trader assessments of whether a full embassy evacuation will occur by any near-term resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$117,489Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated outside Lebanon amid ongoing Middle East tensions involving Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran. A August 1 security alert confirmed this posture, citing a complex security environment with risks of escalation, while consular services for U.S. citizens continue on a limited basis. Recent U.S.-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations, including a June framework on Hezbollah disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals, have produced mixed results with some setbacks, though the next round is scheduled for early September in Rome. These diplomatic efforts and the absence of major new military incidents in recent weeks shape trader assessments of whether a full embassy evacuation will occur by any near-term resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Объем
$117,489Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated outside Lebanon amid ongoing Middle East tensions involving Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran. A August 1 security alert confirmed this posture, citing a complex security environment with risks of escalation, while consular services for U.S. citizens continue on a limited basis. Recent U.S.-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese delegations, including a June framework on Hezbollah disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals, have produced mixed results with some setbacks, though the next round is scheduled for early September in Rome. These diplomatic efforts and the absence of major new military incidents in recent weeks shape trader assessments of whether a full embassy evacuation will occur by any near-term resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы