Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$182,275 Объем
28 фев. 2027 г.
1,1 млн
100%
1,2 млн
56%
1,3 млн
19%
1,4 млн
8%
1,5 млн
6%
1,7 млн
3%
2 млн
3%
$182,275 Объем
1,1 млн
$20,561 Объем
100%
1,2 млн
$10,418 Объем
56%
1,3 млн
$7,633 Объем
19%
1,4 млн
$19,769 Объем
8%
1,5 млн
$9,719 Объем
6%
1,7 млн
$58,787 Объем
3%
2 млн
$16,311 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Объем
$182,275Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Объем
$182,275Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded operating licenses for firms like Chevron following the 2026 political transition have lifted Venezuelan crude output to 1.187 million barrels per day in June, the highest since 2019, with exports reaching 1.25 million bpd in May. PDVSA targets 1.37 million bpd by year-end amid recovering trading volumes and foreign investment inflows, though infrastructure bottlenecks, diluent shortages, and capital requirements constrain faster gains. Trader consensus prices in modest further growth through 2026, with OPEC monthly reports and new licensing deals as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million bpd thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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