Recent polling from Quaest and Ideia in mid-May shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a first-round lead near 39 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 33 percent and right-wing governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema each near 4 percent. Flávio’s position as the leading contender for second place stems from Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility ruling, which consolidated much of the opposition vote behind the Liberal Party senator. Traders price this outcome highest because a fragmented field leaves limited room for other names to overtake him before the October 4 first round, though any further consolidation among center-right candidates or shifts in economic sentiment could alter the ranking.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร 62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา 15%
Renan Santos 6.7%
โรมิว เซมา 6.5%
$3,522,540 ปริมาณ
$3,522,540 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร
62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา
15%
Renan Santos
7%
โรมิว เซมา
7%
มิเชล โบลโซนาโร
4%
เฟอร์นันดู ฮัดดัด
3%
คามิโล ซานตานา
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
โรนัลโด้ ไกอาโด
1%
เจอรัลโด อัลค์มิน
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
ราตินโญ่ จูเนียร์
<1%
อัลโด เรเบโล
<1%
เอดูอาร์โด โบลโซนาโร
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
ฌาอีร์ โบลโซนาโร
<1%
เอ็ดดูอาร์โด เลอิเต้
<1%
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร 62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา 15%
Renan Santos 6.7%
โรมิว เซมา 6.5%
$3,522,540 ปริมาณ
$3,522,540 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร
$56,395 ปริมาณ
62%
ลูอิส อินาซิโอ ลูลา ดา ซิลวา
$67,153 ปริมาณ
15%
Renan Santos
$995,076 ปริมาณ
7%
โรมิว เซมา
$256,381 ปริมาณ
7%
มิเชล โบลโซนาโร
$72,825 ปริมาณ
4%
เฟอร์นันดู ฮัดดัด
$651,329 ปริมาณ
3%
คามิโล ซานตานา
$56,008 ปริมาณ
2%
Tereza Cristina
$2,848 ปริมาณ
1%
โรนัลโด้ ไกอาโด
$289,157 ปริมาณ
1%
เจอรัลโด อัลค์มิน
$123,364 ปริมาณ
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$111,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
ราตินโญ่ จูเนียร์
$642,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
อัลโด เรเบโล
$29,825 ปริมาณ
<1%
เอดูอาร์โด โบลโซนาโร
$48,401 ปริมาณ
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$2,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
ฌาอีร์ โบลโซนาโร
$77,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
เอ็ดดูอาร์โด เลอิเต้
$40,500 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and Ideia in mid-May shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a first-round lead near 39 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 33 percent and right-wing governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema each near 4 percent. Flávio’s position as the leading contender for second place stems from Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility ruling, which consolidated much of the opposition vote behind the Liberal Party senator. Traders price this outcome highest because a fragmented field leaves limited room for other names to overtake him before the October 4 first round, though any further consolidation among center-right candidates or shifts in economic sentiment could alter the ranking.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,522,540วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and Ideia in mid-May shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a first-round lead near 39 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 33 percent and right-wing governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema each near 4 percent. Flávio’s position as the leading contender for second place stems from Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility ruling, which consolidated much of the opposition vote behind the Liberal Party senator. Traders price this outcome highest because a fragmented field leaves limited room for other names to overtake him before the October 4 first round, though any further consolidation among center-right candidates or shifts in economic sentiment could alter the ranking.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,522,540วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Quaest and Ideia in mid-May shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a first-round lead near 39 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro trailing at 33 percent and right-wing governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema each near 4 percent. Flávio’s position as the leading contender for second place stems from Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility ruling, which consolidated much of the opposition vote behind the Liberal Party senator. Traders price this outcome highest because a fragmented field leaves limited room for other names to overtake him before the October 4 first round, though any further consolidation among center-right candidates or shifts in economic sentiment could alter the ranking.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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