Recent stability in core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year for July, alongside August CPI data showing a firmer-than-expected 0.3% monthly core gain, has kept trader focus on whether underlying inflation pressures are easing or reaccelerating. With the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge still well above the 2% target amid services sector costs and AI-related goods demand, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.2–3.4%, reflecting uncertainty over the BEA’s September 30 release. Forecasts from firms such as TD Securities center on 3.3%, while portfolio management fees and shelter lags remain key swing factors ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCore PCE YoY - August 2026
Core PCE YoY - August 2026
3.4% 33%
3.2% 30%
3.3% 19%
3.1% 17%
$42,194 ปริมาณ
$42,194 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
≤3.0%
6%
3.1%
17%
3.2%
30%
3.3%
19%
3.4%
33%
3.5%
1%
3.6%+
<1%
3.4% 33%
3.2% 30%
3.3% 19%
3.1% 17%
$42,194 ปริมาณ
$42,194 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
≤3.0%
$3,455 ปริมาณ
6%
3.1%
$12,704 ปริมาณ
17%
3.2%
$9,284 ปริมาณ
30%
3.3%
$4,421 ปริมาณ
19%
3.4%
$7,100 ปริมาณ
33%
3.5%
$2,949 ปริมาณ
1%
3.6%+
$2,281 ปริมาณ
<1%
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year for July, alongside August CPI data showing a firmer-than-expected 0.3% monthly core gain, has kept trader focus on whether underlying inflation pressures are easing or reaccelerating. With the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge still well above the 2% target amid services sector costs and AI-related goods demand, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.2–3.4%, reflecting uncertainty over the BEA’s September 30 release. Forecasts from firms such as TD Securities center on 3.3%, while portfolio management fees and shelter lags remain key swing factors ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,194วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year for July, alongside August CPI data showing a firmer-than-expected 0.3% monthly core gain, has kept trader focus on whether underlying inflation pressures are easing or reaccelerating. With the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge still well above the 2% target amid services sector costs and AI-related goods demand, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.2–3.4%, reflecting uncertainty over the BEA’s September 30 release. Forecasts from firms such as TD Securities center on 3.3%, while portfolio management fees and shelter lags remain key swing factors ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,194วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent stability in core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year for July, alongside August CPI data showing a firmer-than-expected 0.3% monthly core gain, has kept trader focus on whether underlying inflation pressures are easing or reaccelerating. With the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge still well above the 2% target amid services sector costs and AI-related goods demand, market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.2–3.4%, reflecting uncertainty over the BEA’s September 30 release. Forecasts from firms such as TD Securities center on 3.3%, while portfolio management fees and shelter lags remain key swing factors ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย