Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDaniel Vilela 77%
Marconi Perillo 19%
Vanderlan Cardoso 12.2%
Wilder Morais 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Daniel Vilela
77%
Marconi Perillo
11%
Vanderlan Cardoso
12%
Wilder Morais
11%
Adriana Accorsi
11%
Daniel Vilela 77%
Marconi Perillo 19%
Vanderlan Cardoso 12.2%
Wilder Morais 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Daniel Vilela
$316 ปริมาณ
77%
Marconi Perillo
$163 ปริมาณ
11%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$244 ปริมาณ
12%
Wilder Morais
$167 ปริมาณ
11%
Adriana Accorsi
$222 ปริมาณ
11%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,113ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,113ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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