The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 ปริมาณ
$42,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 ปริมาณ
$42,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
$1,863 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$1,389 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,202 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$3,186 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$9,705 ปริมาณ
Yes
13°C
$6,997 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$6,323 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$4,399 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,835 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,381 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$3,057 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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