Official meteorological observations from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 20 °C in Ankara on May 16, driving the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Springtime high-pressure systems and persistent cloud cover over central Anatolia kept surface temperatures from rising further, consistent with regional climatology where mid-May averages hover near 23 °C but recent frontal passages suppressed afternoon heating. Traders weighted the final verified reading heavily, assigning negligible odds to 21 °C or higher because no alternative model runs or station data suggested warmer conditions. A realistic shift would require a post-verification correction by the national weather agency, an event that remains rare once initial quality-controlled observations are released.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$65,454 ปริมาณ
$65,454 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$65,454 ปริมาณ
$65,454 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,212 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,376 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,530 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,458 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,477 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,887 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$8,151 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$18,844 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$7,128 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,273 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$4,119 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 20 °C in Ankara on May 16, driving the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Springtime high-pressure systems and persistent cloud cover over central Anatolia kept surface temperatures from rising further, consistent with regional climatology where mid-May averages hover near 23 °C but recent frontal passages suppressed afternoon heating. Traders weighted the final verified reading heavily, assigning negligible odds to 21 °C or higher because no alternative model runs or station data suggested warmer conditions. A realistic shift would require a post-verification correction by the national weather agency, an event that remains rare once initial quality-controlled observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,454วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 20 °C in Ankara on May 16, driving the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Springtime high-pressure systems and persistent cloud cover over central Anatolia kept surface temperatures from rising further, consistent with regional climatology where mid-May averages hover near 23 °C but recent frontal passages suppressed afternoon heating. Traders weighted the final verified reading heavily, assigning negligible odds to 21 °C or higher because no alternative model runs or station data suggested warmer conditions. A realistic shift would require a post-verification correction by the national weather agency, an event that remains rare once initial quality-controlled observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,454วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological observations from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 20 °C in Ankara on May 16, driving the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Springtime high-pressure systems and persistent cloud cover over central Anatolia kept surface temperatures from rising further, consistent with regional climatology where mid-May averages hover near 23 °C but recent frontal passages suppressed afternoon heating. Traders weighted the final verified reading heavily, assigning negligible odds to 21 °C or higher because no alternative model runs or station data suggested warmer conditions. A realistic shift would require a post-verification correction by the national weather agency, an event that remains rare once initial quality-controlled observations are released.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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