Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 82–84°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a southerly flow moderated by Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's clustered 78–83°F bins by limiting peak insolation and enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Normal highs for the date average 82.8°F, but increased cloud cover and potential convective cooling introduce downward pressure on maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any late-day clearing or stronger winds the main variables that could nudge readings into the low 80s versus upper 70s. Updated afternoon observations and radar trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 15?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 6.2%
ใหม่
$12,206 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,206 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 6.2%
ใหม่
$12,206 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,206 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$1,849 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$1,874 ปริมาณ
6%
78-79°F
$1,509 ปริมาณ
30%
80-81°F
$1,854 ปริมาณ
40%
82-83°F
$995 ปริมาณ
16%
84-85°F
$1,191 ปริมาณ
4%
86-87°F
$1,649 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$585 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$365 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 82–84°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a southerly flow moderated by Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's clustered 78–83°F bins by limiting peak insolation and enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Normal highs for the date average 82.8°F, but increased cloud cover and potential convective cooling introduce downward pressure on maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any late-day clearing or stronger winds the main variables that could nudge readings into the low 80s versus upper 70s. Updated afternoon observations and radar trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,206วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 82–84°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a southerly flow moderated by Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's clustered 78–83°F bins by limiting peak insolation and enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Normal highs for the date average 82.8°F, but increased cloud cover and potential convective cooling introduce downward pressure on maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any late-day clearing or stronger winds the main variables that could nudge readings into the low 80s versus upper 70s. Updated afternoon observations and radar trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,206วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 82–84°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and a southerly flow moderated by Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's clustered 78–83°F bins by limiting peak insolation and enhancing boundary-layer mixing. Normal highs for the date average 82.8°F, but increased cloud cover and potential convective cooling introduce downward pressure on maximum temperatures. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any late-day clearing or stronger winds the main variables that could nudge readings into the low 80s versus upper 70s. Updated afternoon observations and radar trends will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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