Official forecasts for Guangzhou on August 15 point to a daily high near 34–35°C amid thunderstorms and showers, aligning with the market’s strong 61% implied probability for 35°C as the peak. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and typical August climatology support these temperatures, while cloud cover and precipitation limit upward spikes toward 36°C or higher. Recent model consensus shows no heat-wave setup or clear-sky intensification that would shift the distribution, keeping lower outcomes like 33°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final observed maximum for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
35°C 56%
34°C 27%
36°C 10%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
$38,302 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,302 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
22%
35°C
56%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 27%
36°C 10%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
$38,302 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,302 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$1,392 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$3,809 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$6,886 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$5,831 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$3,296 ปริมาณ
8%
34°C
$2,272 ปริมาณ
22%
35°C
$2,355 ปริมาณ
56%
36°C
$2,303 ปริมาณ
10%
37°C
$3,219 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C
$4,274 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,665 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Guangzhou on August 15 point to a daily high near 34–35°C amid thunderstorms and showers, aligning with the market’s strong 61% implied probability for 35°C as the peak. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and typical August climatology support these temperatures, while cloud cover and precipitation limit upward spikes toward 36°C or higher. Recent model consensus shows no heat-wave setup or clear-sky intensification that would shift the distribution, keeping lower outcomes like 33°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final observed maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,302วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Guangzhou on August 15 point to a daily high near 34–35°C amid thunderstorms and showers, aligning with the market’s strong 61% implied probability for 35°C as the peak. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and typical August climatology support these temperatures, while cloud cover and precipitation limit upward spikes toward 36°C or higher. Recent model consensus shows no heat-wave setup or clear-sky intensification that would shift the distribution, keeping lower outcomes like 33°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final observed maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,302วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Guangzhou on August 15 point to a daily high near 34–35°C amid thunderstorms and showers, aligning with the market’s strong 61% implied probability for 35°C as the peak. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, and typical August climatology support these temperatures, while cloud cover and precipitation limit upward spikes toward 36°C or higher. Recent model consensus shows no heat-wave setup or clear-sky intensification that would shift the distribution, keeping lower outcomes like 33°C or below at modest probabilities. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final observed maximum for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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