National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 96–97°F at Hobby Airport under strong southerly Gulf flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that favors peak daytime heating. This guidance, consistent with recent model consensus and mid-August climatology averaging highs in the mid-90s, underpins the market’s heavy weighting on the 96–97°F bin. Modest sea-breeze moderation or isolated afternoon convection introduces downside risk to 94–95°F, while clearer conditions could allow a brief push toward 98–99°F. Official observations throughout the afternoon will determine final resolution within these narrow ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 15?
96-97°F 75%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 11%
100-101°F 1.3%
$18,412 ปริมาณ
$18,412 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
66%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 75%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 11%
100-101°F 1.3%
$18,412 ปริมาณ
$18,412 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$321 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$1,927 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$1,247 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$2,155 ปริมาณ
27%
96-97°F
$6,002 ปริมาณ
66%
98-99°F
$3,644 ปริมาณ
11%
100-101°F
$1,191 ปริมาณ
1%
102-103°F
$691 ปริมาณ
<1%
104°F or higher
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 96–97°F at Hobby Airport under strong southerly Gulf flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that favors peak daytime heating. This guidance, consistent with recent model consensus and mid-August climatology averaging highs in the mid-90s, underpins the market’s heavy weighting on the 96–97°F bin. Modest sea-breeze moderation or isolated afternoon convection introduces downside risk to 94–95°F, while clearer conditions could allow a brief push toward 98–99°F. Official observations throughout the afternoon will determine final resolution within these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,412วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 96–97°F at Hobby Airport under strong southerly Gulf flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that favors peak daytime heating. This guidance, consistent with recent model consensus and mid-August climatology averaging highs in the mid-90s, underpins the market’s heavy weighting on the 96–97°F bin. Modest sea-breeze moderation or isolated afternoon convection introduces downside risk to 94–95°F, while clearer conditions could allow a brief push toward 98–99°F. Official observations throughout the afternoon will determine final resolution within these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,412วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 96–97°F at Hobby Airport under strong southerly Gulf flow, high dew points, and limited cloud cover that favors peak daytime heating. This guidance, consistent with recent model consensus and mid-August climatology averaging highs in the mid-90s, underpins the market’s heavy weighting on the 96–97°F bin. Modest sea-breeze moderation or isolated afternoon convection introduces downside risk to 94–95°F, while clearer conditions could allow a brief push toward 98–99°F. Official observations throughout the afternoon will determine final resolution within these narrow ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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