Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 ปริมาณ
$30,017 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 ปริมาณ
$30,017 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
$1,305 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,611 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,181 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$1,709 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,185 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$2,072 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$5,047 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$2,300 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$3,433 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$4,174 ปริมาณ
No
40°C or higher
$2,998 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,017วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,017วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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