Trader consensus favors 40°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today, propelled by the UK Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak of 41°C amid persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This setup fosters atmospheric subsidence, suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation for intense surface heating, with northwest winds of 7-15 mph offering limited moderation and midday relative humidity dipping to 17%. Yesterday's observed high of 39°C aligns with the warming trend, exceeding May climatological norms around 37°C. Key resolution hinges on official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport through afternoon hours, where model ensembles show minor divergence and potential sea-breeze effects could trim peaks toward 39°C (20% odds). Updated National Center for Meteorology bulletins expected later today may refine probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 20%
38°C 11%
37°C 5%
ใหม่
$18,046 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,046 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
11%
39°C
20%
40°C or higher
67%
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 20%
38°C 11%
37°C 5%
ใหม่
$18,046 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,046 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
$1,305 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,611 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,181 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$3,165 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,742 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$3,406 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
5%
38°C
$635 ปริมาณ
11%
39°C
$302 ปริมาณ
20%
40°C or higher
$900 ปริมาณ
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 40°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today, propelled by the UK Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak of 41°C amid persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This setup fosters atmospheric subsidence, suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation for intense surface heating, with northwest winds of 7-15 mph offering limited moderation and midday relative humidity dipping to 17%. Yesterday's observed high of 39°C aligns with the warming trend, exceeding May climatological norms around 37°C. Key resolution hinges on official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport through afternoon hours, where model ensembles show minor divergence and potential sea-breeze effects could trim peaks toward 39°C (20% odds). Updated National Center for Meteorology bulletins expected later today may refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,046วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 40°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today, propelled by the UK Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak of 41°C amid persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This setup fosters atmospheric subsidence, suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation for intense surface heating, with northwest winds of 7-15 mph offering limited moderation and midday relative humidity dipping to 17%. Yesterday's observed high of 39°C aligns with the warming trend, exceeding May climatological norms around 37°C. Key resolution hinges on official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport through afternoon hours, where model ensembles show minor divergence and potential sea-breeze effects could trim peaks toward 39°C (20% odds). Updated National Center for Meteorology bulletins expected later today may refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,046วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 40°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today, propelled by the UK Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak of 41°C amid persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This setup fosters atmospheric subsidence, suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation for intense surface heating, with northwest winds of 7-15 mph offering limited moderation and midday relative humidity dipping to 17%. Yesterday's observed high of 39°C aligns with the warming trend, exceeding May climatological norms around 37°C. Key resolution hinges on official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport through afternoon hours, where model ensembles show minor divergence and potential sea-breeze effects could trim peaks toward 39°C (20% odds). Updated National Center for Meteorology bulletins expected later today may refine probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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