Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 19?
42°C or below 80%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
42°C or below
80%
43°C
11%
44°C
5%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C
1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 80%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
42°C or below
$124 ปริมาณ
80%
43°C
$74 ปริมาณ
11%
44°C
$62 ปริมาณ
5%
45°C
$211 ปริมาณ
1%
46°C
$156 ปริมาณ
1%
47°C
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
48°C
$155 ปริมาณ
1%
49°C
$132 ปริมาณ
1%
50°C
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
51°C
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
52°C or higher
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,567วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,567วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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