PAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on May 17 projects a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects May's climatological peak in solar insolation during the dry season, when clear to partly cloudy conditions maximize surface heating before evening convection and potential rainshowers limit further rises. Historical baselines for the period show typical highs of 33–35°C at the Science Garden station, with current model consensus indicating only modest deviations. A realistic challenge would require unexpected persistent cloud cover or an earlier onset of heavy precipitation to cap temperatures below 35°C, or an unforecast surge in clear-sky heating pushing past 37°C—both considered low-probability by official guidance. Final daily observations are expected later today.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
36°C 99.9%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,112 ปริมาณ
$29,112 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.9%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,112 ปริมาณ
$29,112 ปริมาณ
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLPAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on May 17 projects a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects May's climatological peak in solar insolation during the dry season, when clear to partly cloudy conditions maximize surface heating before evening convection and potential rainshowers limit further rises. Historical baselines for the period show typical highs of 33–35°C at the Science Garden station, with current model consensus indicating only modest deviations. A realistic challenge would require unexpected persistent cloud cover or an earlier onset of heavy precipitation to cap temperatures below 35°C, or an unforecast surge in clear-sky heating pushing past 37°C—both considered low-probability by official guidance. Final daily observations are expected later today.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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