Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime maximum near 33°C for Manila on May 18, with a 30% chance of afternoon showers, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C and 35°C due to typical variability in convective cloud development and urban heat island amplification. In Manila’s tropical setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity that limits radiative cooling, and localized factors such as wind speed or thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or elevate readings by 1–2°C relative to model consensus. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, with urban concrete and reduced vegetation often adding measurable warmth during clear intervals, creating the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 18?
34°C 38%
35°C 32%
33°C 20%
36°C 10.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
20%
34°C
38%
35°C
32%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 32%
33°C 20%
36°C 10.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
$1,006 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,083 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$928 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$701 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$420 ปริมาณ
38%
35°C
$255 ปริมาณ
32%
36°C
$959 ปริมาณ
11%
37°C
$343 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$338 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$299 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime maximum near 33°C for Manila on May 18, with a 30% chance of afternoon showers, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C and 35°C due to typical variability in convective cloud development and urban heat island amplification. In Manila’s tropical setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity that limits radiative cooling, and localized factors such as wind speed or thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or elevate readings by 1–2°C relative to model consensus. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, with urban concrete and reduced vegetation often adding measurable warmth during clear intervals, creating the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,422วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime maximum near 33°C for Manila on May 18, with a 30% chance of afternoon showers, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C and 35°C due to typical variability in convective cloud development and urban heat island amplification. In Manila’s tropical setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity that limits radiative cooling, and localized factors such as wind speed or thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or elevate readings by 1–2°C relative to model consensus. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, with urban concrete and reduced vegetation often adding measurable warmth during clear intervals, creating the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,422วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLOfficial forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime maximum near 33°C for Manila on May 18, with a 30% chance of afternoon showers, yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C and 35°C due to typical variability in convective cloud development and urban heat island amplification. In Manila’s tropical setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer humidity that limits radiative cooling, and localized factors such as wind speed or thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or elevate readings by 1–2°C relative to model consensus. Historical May averages hover near 33–34°C, with urban concrete and reduced vegetation often adding measurable warmth during clear intervals, creating the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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