National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, driving the close market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtle differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon heating rates explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to these two outcomes. Official observations from Miami International Airport show typical May climatology with average highs near 85 °F, while recent model runs indicate light easterly flow and modest cloud cover that could cap peak temperatures just below or at the 88 °F threshold. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and influence further trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 17?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 4.3%
$57,776 ปริมาณ
$57,776 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 4.3%
$57,776 ปริมาณ
$57,776 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$1,492 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$1,546 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$22,592 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$7,646 ปริมาณ
4%
84-85°F
$6,511 ปริมาณ
22%
86-87°F
$4,058 ปริมาณ
40%
88-89°F
$4,140 ปริมาณ
34%
90-91°F
$3,342 ปริมาณ
4%
92-93°F
$3,874 ปริมาณ
1%
94°F or higher
$1,958 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, driving the close market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtle differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon heating rates explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to these two outcomes. Official observations from Miami International Airport show typical May climatology with average highs near 85 °F, while recent model runs indicate light easterly flow and modest cloud cover that could cap peak temperatures just below or at the 88 °F threshold. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and influence further trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,776วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, driving the close market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtle differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon heating rates explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to these two outcomes. Official observations from Miami International Airport show typical May climatology with average highs near 85 °F, while recent model runs indicate light easterly flow and modest cloud cover that could cap peak temperatures just below or at the 88 °F threshold. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and influence further trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,776วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, driving the close market split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtle differences in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon heating rates explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to these two outcomes. Official observations from Miami International Airport show typical May climatology with average highs near 85 °F, while recent model runs indicate light easterly flow and modest cloud cover that could cap peak temperatures just below or at the 88 °F threshold. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact maximum and influence further trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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