Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$1,471 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$704 ปริมาณ
12%
29°C
$364 ปริมาณ
38%
30°C
$120 ปริมาณ
36%
31°C
$51 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$29 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$136 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$578 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$425 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$456 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,280วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,280วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's June 16 maximum near 30°C amid stable high pressure and light easterly flow, producing the near-even 36% and 35.5% market shares for 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and slight model spread in 850 hPa temperatures separate these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect limited upside potential if insolation or downslope warming exceeds current guidance. Official Italian Meteorological Service observations and the next model runs will resolve the narrow range before Tuesday's peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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