Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with afternoon thunderstorms likely, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 32–34 °C. A post-heatwave cooling trend has already reduced insolation and lowered boundary-layer temperatures by several degrees since midweek, while scattered convective cells could suppress peaks further if they develop before 1400 UTC. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around 32–34 °C because model spread hinges on exact storm timing, moisture advection, and urban heat-island retention rather than broad synoptic warming. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 15?
33°C 36%
32°C 29.4%
34°C 22%
31°C 11.3%
$96,143 ปริมาณ
$96,143 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
29%
33°C
36%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 29.4%
34°C 22%
31°C 11.3%
$96,143 ปริมาณ
$96,143 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$22,211 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$15,516 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$14,184 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$13,142 ปริมาณ
36%
34°C
$12,995 ปริมาณ
22%
35°C
$12,089 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$6,810 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$3,558 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$469 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$479 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with afternoon thunderstorms likely, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 32–34 °C. A post-heatwave cooling trend has already reduced insolation and lowered boundary-layer temperatures by several degrees since midweek, while scattered convective cells could suppress peaks further if they develop before 1400 UTC. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around 32–34 °C because model spread hinges on exact storm timing, moisture advection, and urban heat-island retention rather than broad synoptic warming. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,143วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with afternoon thunderstorms likely, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 32–34 °C. A post-heatwave cooling trend has already reduced insolation and lowered boundary-layer temperatures by several degrees since midweek, while scattered convective cells could suppress peaks further if they develop before 1400 UTC. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around 32–34 °C because model spread hinges on exact storm timing, moisture advection, and urban heat-island retention rather than broad synoptic warming. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,143วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show Paris under increasing cloud cover with afternoon thunderstorms likely, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 32–34 °C. A post-heatwave cooling trend has already reduced insolation and lowered boundary-layer temperatures by several degrees since midweek, while scattered convective cells could suppress peaks further if they develop before 1400 UTC. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around 32–34 °C because model spread hinges on exact storm timing, moisture advection, and urban heat-island retention rather than broad synoptic warming. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market once the 24-hour maximum is confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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