Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 66%
15°C 22%
17°C 10%
18°C <1%
$88,061 ปริมาณ
$88,061 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
66%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 22%
17°C 10%
18°C <1%
$88,061 ปริมาณ
$88,061 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
66%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBCurrent forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย