Current ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 18?
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
18%
15°C
30%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$48 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$492 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$2 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
15°C
$56 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$24 ปริมาณ
34%
17°C
$21 ปริมาณ
17%
18°C
$13 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C or higher
$34 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBCurrent ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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