**Recent cold front influences and typical June climatology are anchoring trader consensus around 21–22°C as the most probable maximum temperature in São Paulo on June 14.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, combined with a advancing cold front and associated cloud cover and light rain, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs close to seasonal norms of roughly 21–22°C. Multiple forecast models and monitoring sources project a daily maximum near 21°C, with limited upward deviation expected due to persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities reflect this: 22°C leads at 51.5% as the consensus outcome matching average June highs and current model guidance, while 21°C (28%) and 23°C (20%) capture the narrow uncertainty band from minor forecast variations in timing or local urban effects. Higher outcomes above 24°C remain below 2% because no warming advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push temperatures notably above the seasonal baseline. Traders are weighting official agency forecasts and short-term model consensus, which show stable, cool conditions through the day without significant deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
22°C 52%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
24°C 1.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
28%
22°C
52%
23°C
22%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
24°C 1.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$339 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$496 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$729 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,113 ปริมาณ
28%
22°C
$1,816 ปริมาณ
52%
23°C
$1,480 ปริมาณ
22%
24°C
$810 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$802 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$896 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C or higher
$404 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold front influences and typical June climatology are anchoring trader consensus around 21–22°C as the most probable maximum temperature in São Paulo on June 14.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, combined with a advancing cold front and associated cloud cover and light rain, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs close to seasonal norms of roughly 21–22°C. Multiple forecast models and monitoring sources project a daily maximum near 21°C, with limited upward deviation expected due to persistent moisture and reduced insolation.
Market-implied probabilities reflect this: 22°C leads at 51.5% as the consensus outcome matching average June highs and current model guidance, while 21°C (28%) and 23°C (20%) capture the narrow uncertainty band from minor forecast variations in timing or local urban effects. Higher outcomes above 24°C remain below 2% because no warming advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push temperatures notably above the seasonal baseline. Traders are weighting official agency forecasts and short-term model consensus, which show stable, cool conditions through the day without significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,951วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold front influences and typical June climatology are anchoring trader consensus around 21–22°C as the most probable maximum temperature in São Paulo on June 14.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, combined with a advancing cold front and associated cloud cover and light rain, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs close to seasonal norms of roughly 21–22°C. Multiple forecast models and monitoring sources project a daily maximum near 21°C, with limited upward deviation expected due to persistent moisture and reduced insolation.
Market-implied probabilities reflect this: 22°C leads at 51.5% as the consensus outcome matching average June highs and current model guidance, while 21°C (28%) and 23°C (20%) capture the narrow uncertainty band from minor forecast variations in timing or local urban effects. Higher outcomes above 24°C remain below 2% because no warming advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push temperatures notably above the seasonal baseline. Traders are weighting official agency forecasts and short-term model consensus, which show stable, cool conditions through the day without significant deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,951วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cold front influences and typical June climatology are anchoring trader consensus around 21–22°C as the most probable maximum temperature in São Paulo on June 14.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, combined with a advancing cold front and associated cloud cover and light rain, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping highs close to seasonal norms of roughly 21–22°C. Multiple forecast models and monitoring sources project a daily maximum near 21°C, with limited upward deviation expected due to persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Market-implied probabilities reflect this: 22°C leads at 51.5% as the consensus outcome matching average June highs and current model guidance, while 21°C (28%) and 23°C (20%) capture the narrow uncertainty band from minor forecast variations in timing or local urban effects. Higher outcomes above 24°C remain below 2% because no warming advection or clear-sky conditions are anticipated to push temperatures notably above the seasonal baseline. Traders are weighting official agency forecasts and short-term model consensus, which show stable, cool conditions through the day without significant deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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