Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 19?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 19?
58°F or higher 96.5%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58°F or higher
97%
58°F or higher 96.5%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
39°F or below
$690 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-41°F
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
42-43°F
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
44-45°F
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
46-47°F
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
48-49°F
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-51°F
$541 ปริมาณ
<1%
52-53°F
$818 ปริมาณ
<1%
54-55°F
$188 ปริมาณ
1%
56-57°F
$23 ปริมาณ
2%
58°F or higher
$258 ปริมาณ
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,533วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,533วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEALatest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย